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Elliott Wave Signals Caution for TRV: Is a Correction Looming?

August 17, 2025 By EWFLuis

The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) stands strong in the insurance sector. Analysts value its stable earnings, solid dividend, and consistent buybacks. Out of 17 expert ratings, 8 recommend buying, while 7 suggest holding. Only 2 advise selling. The average price target is $294.47, implying an 11% upside from the current $264.87. BMO and KBW raised their targets to $316, citing strong underwriting and pricing power.

However, not all experts agree. Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo maintain hold ratings due to valuation concerns and catastrophe risks. Barclays recently downgraded TRV, reflecting caution amid market volatility. Despite mixed views, TRV remains a defensive favorite. Its resilience and shareholder-friendly strategy continue to attract long-term investors.

Elliott Wave Outlook: TRV Weekly Chart April 2025

Elliott Wave Outlook: TRV Weekly Chart April 2025

In the latest update, we clearly identified the structure of wave V. Wave ((1)) peaked at 266.74. Then, wave ((2)) corrected sharply to 230.43 but remained above wave IV. After that, TRV moved higher, targeting the 279.63–295.10 zone. This area marks the likely end of wave V of (I) and signals the possible start of wave (II).

However, if the market showed no strong pullback at those levels, wave V might have extended into wave ((3)). TRV would need to push above 300 to confirm a continuation of the bullish momentum.

Elliott Wave Outlook: TRV Weekly Chart August 2025

Elliott Wave Outlook: TRV Weekly Chart August 2025

The chart for TRV illustrates a mature Elliott Wave impulse structure on the weekly timeframe, suggesting that the stock may be nearing the end of a bullish cycle. The labeling shows a possible ending diagonal structure ((1)) through ((5)), followed by a potential corrective abc pattern. The projected resistance zone lies between 279.63 and 295.09, based on Fibonacci tool, if there are not more extension higher, we should see a strong reaction lower from this area. The annotation emphasizes trading only in the direction of the green/red “Right Side” tags, reinforcing a disciplined, trend following strategy. Overall, the chart signals caution: while upside targets remain viable, a corrective pullback (waves a, b, c) may soon unfold, offering potential re-entry opportunities for traders aligned with the broader wave structure.

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Filed Under: Stock Market Tagged With: Dow Jones, Travelers, TRV

TRV Approaches Final Stage of Impulse Structure: Anticipating a Pullback

April 23, 2025 By EWFLuis

The Travelers Companies, Inc., TRV, is an American insurance company. It is the second-largest writer of U.S. commercial property casualty insurance, and the sixth-largest writer of U.S. personal insurance through independent agents.

Experts have mixed opinions about Travelers Companies (TRV) stock for 2025. Analysts have provided a consensus price target of $263.37, with estimates ranging from $203.00 to $310.00. Some analysts are optimistic, highlighting potential upside and recommending a buy rating, while others suggest holding the stock due to market uncertainties.

Elliott Wave View:

Wave ((II)) for TRV ended at 77.22 low. The stock remained in wave ((III)) but shifted to wave (I) of ((III)). Wave I concluded at 187.98, followed by a pullback marking wave II at 149.65. The rally resumed, breaking the wave I high, signaling the start of wave III of (I).

We anticipated one final push upward to complete wave ((5)) of III and wave III of (I), it ended at 269.54 high. The wave IV pullback also ended at 230.23 low and now is trading higher in wave V of (I). (If you want to learn more about flat corrections, please follow these links: and .)

Weekly TRV Chart December 2024

Weekly TRV Chart December 2024

In December, TRV rallied to 269.56, exceeding the expected range of 240.74–253.27. Shortly afterward, the market reacted lower, signaling the start of wave IV. We labeled the 269.56 high as wave III. Subsequently, the price moved lower to complete wave IV as a flat structure, ending at 230.23. I little lower that the expected zone of 241.57–234.99. Then, we were expecting to continue the rally as wave V of (I) to 277.35 – 289.10 area before seeing a pullback as wave (II).

Weekly TRV Chart April 2025

Weekly TRV Chart April 2024

In this latest update, we can clearly observe the structure of wave V. Wave ((1)) peaked at 266.74, followed by a strong correction as wave ((2)), which dropped to 230.43 while staying above the level of wave IV. Now, we anticipate the upward movement to continue, targeting the 279.63 – 295.10 area. This zone is expected to mark the completion of wave V of (I), where the market might react, giving us an indication that wave (II) has begun.

If the market does not show a downward reaction in this area, there is a possibility that wave V could extend its bullish momentum into wave ((3)), pushing TRV above 300. The key will be to monitor the market’s reaction at the projected levels to accurately identify the next move. Let’s see what the market brings us. Trade Smart!

 

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Ready to take control of your trading journey? At Elliott Wave Forecast, we provide the tools you need to stay ahead in the market:

✅ Hourly Updates: Fresh 1-hour charts updated 4 times a day and 4-hour charts updated daily for 78 instruments.

✅ Blue Boxes: High-frequency trading zones, calculated using sequences, cycles, and extensions. These areas pinpoint ideal setups for smarter trades.

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✅ Real-Time Guidance: Get your questions answered in our interactive chat room with expert moderators.

 

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Filed Under: Stock Market Tagged With: Dow Jones, Travelers, TRV

Travelers (TRV) is Showing an Incomplete Bullish Sequence

July 29, 2024 By EWFLuis

The Travelers Companies, Inc., TRV, is an American insurance company. It is the second-largest writer of U.S. commercial property casualty insurance, and the sixth-largest writer of U.S. personal insurance through independent agents.

Weekly TRV Chart July 2023

Weekly TRV Chart July 2023

One year ago, we wrote that TRV ended a great super cycle in the year of 2019 reaching a peak at $154.86 which we call the wave ((I)). Then the market made a quick and strong correction driven by the COVID19 pandemic in 2020. The company lost 50% of its value reaching $76.99 per share in March. This culminated wave ((II)) and we are currently building wave ((III)). Wave (I) of ((III)) ended at $194.51 in January 2023 building an impulse and it has been correcting in wave (II) of ((III)) ever since. We expected to continue the rally in wave (III) of ((III)) after reaching 152.52 – 131.87 blue box area. (If you want to learn more about Elliott Wave Theory, please follow these links: Elliott Wave Education and Elliott Wave Theory) 

Weekly TRV Chart July 2024

Currently, we can see the rally as expected, but missing the blue box by 5 dollars. Also, we adjusted the count in TRV weekly chart. We are still trading in wave ((III)), but with the new data, the stock is still in wave (I) of ((III)). Therefore, wave I higher ended at 187.98 and pullback as wave II finished at 149.65 low. The price rally again breaking wave I high suggesting that wave III of (I) had started. Then, wave ((1)) of III ended at 194.51 and the correction that we are expecting to enter the market ended at 157.33 low as wave ((2)). From here, we can see a strong momentum to the upside ending wave ((3)) of III at 232.75 high. Wave ((4)) of III built a zigzag correction ended at 200.21 low.

Now, we are looking one more push to the upside to complete wave ((5)) of III and wave III of (I) before starting a retracement in wave IV of (I). The correction should retest wave ((4)) low and then rally in wave V of (I). The possible area to end wave ((5)) comes in 240.74 – 253.27 where we should see a reaction lower to think that the cycle is ended.

Elliott Wave Forecast  

www.elliottwave-forecast.com updates one-hour charts 4 times a day and 4-hour charts once a day for all our 78 instruments. We do a daily live session where we guide our clients on the right side of the market. In addition, we have a chat room where our moderators will help you with any questions you have about what is happening in the market.

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Filed Under: Stock Market Tagged With: Dow Jones, Elliott Wave, Travelers, TRV, YM

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