Dow Jones Archives - Page 2 of 7 - Elliott Wave Forecast

Bullish Bounce: YM_F Dow Futures Rebound from Blue Box Zone

July 22, 2025 By Hassan Sheikh

In this blog post, we’ll dive into the recent performance of the YM_F Dow futures, focusing on its 1-Hour Elliott Wave Charts. Since the April 7, 2025, low, the rally has unfolded as an impulse structure. Showing a sequence of higher highs that suggests further upside potential.

Given this momentum, our advice to members has been to avoid selling the index. Instead buy the dips in 3, 7, or 11 swings within the blue box areas. Below, we’ll break down the structure and provide insights into our forecast.

YM_F Dow futures 1-Hour Elliott Wave Chart From 7.15.2025

As of our July 15, 2025, NY Midday update, the YM_F Dow futures index had completed the cycle from 6.19.2025 low ended in wave ((iii)) at $45177 high. The subsequent decline unfolded as wave ((iv)), which corrected the preceding cycle. This pullback followed a zigzag structure, with wave (a) ending at $44422 and wave (b) bounce to $45043. Wave (c) then extended to the blue box area $44291- $43819, a zone anticipated for buyer interest, potentially triggering a 3-wave bounce or the next significant leg higher.

YM_F Dow futures Latest 1-Hour Elliott Wave Chart From 7.22.2025

Our latest 1-Hour Elliott Wave Chart update from July 22, 2025, shows the index reacting higher after completing its correction within the blue box area. This favorable move enabled members to secure risk-free positions shortly after entering long at the blue box zone. However, a decisive break above the $45177 high is crucial to confirm further upside potential and prevent a deeper pullback.

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Ford (F) Stock: A Temporary Rebound Before Further Declines?

May 27, 2025 By EWFLuis

Ford’s stock finally rebounded after months of decline. Earlier, we predicted a failed rally that would push prices lower. Instead, the stock kept falling. Now, it’s bouncing back—but will it last?
According to Elliott Wave analysis, this rally seems weak. Ford’s stock will likely drop again, sinking below $8 soon.

Several issues weigh on Ford. First, high inflation makes cars more expensive. Second, rising interest rates hurt auto loans. Third, supply chain problems continue to slow production. These factors limit Ford’s ability to grow.

Industry trends also create uncertainty. The electric vehicle market expands fast. Ford invests heavily in EVs, but competition gets tougher. Companies like Tesla and Rivian push innovation forward. This makes Ford’s future unclear.

Elliott Wave Ford (F) Weekly Chart May 2025

At first, the rebound seemed promising. However, technical signals show weakness. Momentum slows, and resistance levels block further gains. If this rally fails, selling pressure could return fast. Investors must stay alert. Ford remains strong, but risks grow daily. Strategic decisions and economic shifts will shape its future. For now, caution is key.

Elliott Wave Ford (F) Analysis 5.27.2025

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Dow Futures (YM_F) Elliott Wave Calling the Rally After 3 Waves Pull Back

April 30, 2025 By EWF Vlada

Hello fellow traders. In this technical article we’re going to look at the Elliott Wave charts of Dow Futures (YM_F) published in members area of the website. As our members know, YM_F is trading within the cycle from the 36635 low. Recently, we forecasted the end of the short-term pull back and called for a further rally. In the following text, we’ll explain the Elliott Wave analysis and present target areas.

YM_F Elliott Wave 1 Hour Chart 04.21.2025

Dow Jones Futures is forming a three-wave pullback which still looks incomplete at the moment. Our members know that we can easily identify the reversal area by measuring the Equal Legs zone, ((a)) related ((b)), which comes in at the 38531-37940 area. We expect buyers to appear within the mentioned zone and to see a further rally in Dow Jones YM_F from there.

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YM_F Elliott Wave 1 Hour Chart 04.21.2025

YM_F found buyers as expected at the Equal Legs area and has delivered a decent rally so far. Now, we would like to see a break above the April 9th peak to confirm further extension to the upside toward the 41884+ zone.

Remember, the market is dynamic, and the presented view may have changed in the meantime. For the most recent charts and target levels, please refer to the membership area of the site. The best instruments to trade are those with incomplete bullish or bearish swing sequences. We put them in Sequence Report and best among them are presented in the Live Trading Room

Reminder for members: Our chat rooms in the membership area are available 24 hours a day, providing expert insights on market trends and Elliott Wave analysis. Don’t hesitate to reach out with any questions about the market, Elliott Wave patterns, or technical analysis. We’re here to help.

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AXP’s Bullish Momentum: Eyes Set on All-Time Highs Post Correction

April 27, 2025 By EWFLuis

American Express Company (NYSE: AXP), a leading multinational financial services corporation based in New York City, continues to solidify its position as a prominent player among the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s 30 components. As it specializes in payment cards, the company consistently demonstrates significant market performance, further enhancing its reputation.

Meanwhile, analysts hold mixed opinions regarding American Express (AXP). While the stock carries a consensus rating of “Hold,” evaluations from 24 analysts reveal varying perspectives. Notably, 8 recommend buying, 15 suggest holding, and 1 advises selling. Moreover, the average price target currently stands at $295.05, with projections ranging from a high of $370.00 to a low of $235.00. For instance, some analysts, such as Wells Fargo, have raised their price target to $370.00, reflecting an optimistic outlook on AXP’s growth potential. However, on the other hand, some express concerns about short-term performance, which has resulted in sell ratings.

American Express (AXP) Elliott Wave View

Utilizing Elliott Wave Principle, AXP’s movements reveal an ongoing bullish trajectory, with extensions continuing to attract strategic interest. Let’s examine how the structure has been developing over the past year.

April 2024:

In April 2024, AXP advanced confidently as wave (V) of ((I)). Wave I reached its peak at 189.03 high before wave II corrected to 130.65 low. From there, the stock launched into strong rallies, marking wave ((3)) of III, and created ideal buying opportunities for traders aligned with the trend.

August 2024:

After 4 months, AXP peaked at 256.24 high as wave ((3)), followed by a significant pullback as wave ((4)), which retested the previous wave (4) low around 222.03. The market continued to the upside in wave ((5)). If there was not more extension, this wave ((5)) of III was expected to reach the 264.28–277.31 zone, signaling the potential start of a larger wave IV correction.

January 2025:

As January 2025 unfolded, the rally surpassed expectations, reaching the upper range of 264.28–277.31. Wave ((5)) of III continued its extension, with bullish momentum still dominating. The cycle was expected to conclude around 320.00, where AXP could initiate a pullback in wave IV. The first target for this pullback would likely involve a retest of the prior wave (4) support, approximately in the 280.00–290.00 area.

April 2025:

The price action of AXP completed wave ((5)) of III at the high of 326.27 and then reversed sharply to the downside. The market attempted to rebound near 290, close to the beginning of wave (4), but sellers took control and broke the support, initiating the wave IV pullback. Wave IV formed a corrective zigzag structure, revisiting the zone of the previous wave ((4)). This correction ended at the low of 220.43. At this stage, we expect the bullish movement to persist until wave ((1)) is completed, followed by a correction in wave ((2)). This correction should remain above the low of wave IV to keep the bullish scenario valid. Once wave ((2)) retracement is completed, the market is likely to accelerate toward new highs, potentially reaching the target of 351.70 – 392.36 zone.

Stay tuned for market movements and trade wisely!

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TRV Approaches Final Stage of Impulse Structure: Anticipating a Pullback

April 23, 2025 By EWFLuis

The Travelers Companies, Inc., TRV, is an American insurance company. It is the second-largest writer of U.S. commercial property casualty insurance, and the sixth-largest writer of U.S. personal insurance through independent agents.

Experts have mixed opinions about Travelers Companies (TRV) stock for 2025. Analysts have provided a consensus price target of $263.37, with estimates ranging from $203.00 to $310.00. Some analysts are optimistic, highlighting potential upside and recommending a buy rating, while others suggest holding the stock due to market uncertainties.

Elliott Wave View:

Wave ((II)) for TRV ended at 77.22 low. The stock remained in wave ((III)) but shifted to wave (I) of ((III)). Wave I concluded at 187.98, followed by a pullback marking wave II at 149.65. The rally resumed, breaking the wave I high, signaling the start of wave III of (I).

We anticipated one final push upward to complete wave ((5)) of III and wave III of (I), it ended at 269.54 high. The wave IV pullback also ended at 230.23 low and now is trading higher in wave V of (I). (If you want to learn more about flat corrections, please follow these links: and .)

Weekly TRV Chart December 2024

In December, TRV rallied to 269.56, exceeding the expected range of 240.74–253.27. Shortly afterward, the market reacted lower, signaling the start of wave IV. We labeled the 269.56 high as wave III. Subsequently, the price moved lower to complete wave IV as a flat structure, ending at 230.23. I little lower that the expected zone of 241.57–234.99. Then, we were expecting to continue the rally as wave V of (I) to 277.35 – 289.10 area before seeing a pullback as wave (II).

Weekly TRV Chart April 2025

In this latest update, we can clearly observe the structure of wave V. Wave ((1)) peaked at 266.74, followed by a strong correction as wave ((2)), which dropped to 230.43 while staying above the level of wave IV. Now, we anticipate the upward movement to continue, targeting the 279.63 – 295.10 area. This zone is expected to mark the completion of wave V of (I), where the market might react, giving us an indication that wave (II) has begun.

If the market does not show a downward reaction in this area, there is a possibility that wave V could extend its bullish momentum into wave ((3)), pushing TRV above 300. The key will be to monitor the market’s reaction at the projected levels to accurately identify the next move. Let’s see what the market brings us. Trade Smart!

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McDonald’s (MCD): Continuing the Bullish Trend with Wave ((3))

March 25, 2025 By EWFLuis

McDonald’s (MCD) stock is on track to deliver moderate growth throughout 2025. Analysts expect an average price target of $323.39, offering a potential upside of 5.79% from its current level. Furthermore, monthly forecasts highlight price fluctuations between $282 and $370, influenced by market conditions. Menu innovation, digital initiatives, and geographic diversification strengthen its position and reinforce its resilience against macroeconomic challenges.

McDonald’s MCD Weekly Chart October 2024

Previously, we identified a potential nest structure for MCD, including waves (I), (II), I, II, and ((1)), ((2)), pointing to further upside movement. The bullish outlook remained intact while price action stayed above the 243.53 low. We expected a wave ((2)) pullback, targeting the 281–271 area, where buyers were likely ready to support a rally in wave ((3)). However, we acknowledged that if the market broke below the 243.53 low, it could signal a return to the earlier idea of wave (II) still being in progress.

McDonald’s MCD Weekly Chart March 2025

The market successfully completed its correction in wave ((2)), precisely reaching the projected zone of 281–271 and settling at the 276.80 low. The price action reacted strongly to the upside aligning with our bullish expectations. Moreover, MCD is now trading in wave ((3)) of III, having already completed waves (1) and (2). As long as the market remains above wave (2), the upward movement is expected to continue, further reinforcing the bullish outlook. However, a break below wave (2) or ((2)) would not indicate a bearish trend. Instead, it would suggest that the correction is still ongoing. Nonetheless, the bullish trend ultimately remains intact, providing traders with exciting opportunities in the market.

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