AUD/USD Archives - Elliott Wave Forecast

Elliott Wave Blue Box Payoff: AUDUSD Reacts Higher

June 16, 2025 By Hassan Sheikh

In this technical blog, we will look at the past performance of the 1-hour Elliott Wave Charts of AUDUSD. In which, the rally from 08 April 2025 low is unfolding as corrective sequence but showed a higher high sequence therefore, called for an extension higher to take place. We knew that the structure in AUDUSD should remain supported & extend higher. So, we advised members not to sell the pair & buy the dips in 3, 7, or 11 swings at the blue box areas. We will explain the structure & forecast below:

AUDUSD 1-Hour Elliott Wave Chart From 6.13.2025

Here’s the 1-hour Elliott wave Chart from the 6.13.2025 NY update. In which, the rally to $0.6545 high completed wave 1 & made a pullback in wave 2. The internals of that pullback unfolded as Elliott wave zigzag correction where wave ((a)) ended at $0.6474 low. Then a rally to $0.6533 high-ended wave ((b)) bounce. Then started the next leg lower in wave ((c)) towards $0.6461- $0.6417 blue box area. From there, buyers were expected to appear looking for new highs ideally or for a 3-wave bounce minimum.

AUDUSD Latest 1-Hour Elliott Wave Chart From 6.16.2025

This is the latest 1-hour Elliott wave Chart from the 6.16.2025 London update. In which the pair is showing a strong reaction higher taking place, right after ending the correction within the blue box area. Allowed members to create a risk-free position shortly after taking the long position at the blue box area. However, a break above $0.6545 high is needed to confirm the next extension higher & avoid double correction lower.

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Elliott Wave View: AUDUSD Ended Correction

April 21, 2021 By EWFHendra

Short term Elliott wave view in AUDUSD suggests the rally from March 26 low ended as an expanded Flat Elliott Wave structure. Up from March 25 low, wave (A) ended at 0.7664 and wave (B) ended at 0.7528. Up from there, wave 1 of (C) ended at 0.7677 and wave 2 of (C) ended at 0.7583. The short term 45 minutes chart shows the rally starting from wave 2. Wave 3 of (C) ended at 0.7761, pullback in wave 4 of (C) ended at 0.7702 and final leg wave 5 of (C) ended at 0.7815. This also completed wave ((X)) in higher degree.

Pair has started to reverse lower. Down from wave ((X)), wave ((i)) ended at 0.7757 and wave ((ii)) bounce ended at 0.7783. Pair then extended lower in wave ((iii)) towards 0.7705. Rally in wave ((iv)) should fail for further downside in the pair to end wave ((v)) which should complete wave 1 in higher degree. Afterwards, pair should rally in wave 2 to correct the 5 waves down in wave 1 before the decline resumes. As far as pivot at 0.7815 remains intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for more downside.

AUDUSD 45 Minutes Elliott Wave Chart

AUDUSD Elliott Wave Video

Elliott Wave View: AUDUSD Rallies Post Fed Meeting

March 18, 2021 By EWFHendra

Short term Elliott Wave View suggests that AUDUSD ended wave ((4)) pullback at 0.7617. Pair however still needs to break above wave ((3)) high at 0.8007 to avoid a double correction. Up from wave ((4)) low, wave ((i)) ended at 0.7726 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 0.7665. Pair then resumed higher in wave ((iii)) towards 0.7784 and pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 0.773. The final leg higher wave ((v)) ended at 0.78 which completed wave 1 in higher degree.

Pullback in wave 2 ended at 0.7695 with subdivision unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave 1, wave ((w)) ended at 0.7717, wave ((x)) ended at 0.7759, and wave ((y)) ended at 0.7695. Pair has resumed higher and broken above wave 1 suggesting wave 3 is in progress. Near term, expect wave ((i)) to end soon and pair to pullback in wave ((ii)) to correct rally from 0.7695 low before the rally resumes. As far as pivot at 0.7695 low stays intact, expect dips to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside. Potential target higher is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave 1-2 towards 0.788 – 0.80.

AUDUSD 60 Minutes Elliott Wave Chart

AUDUSD Elliott Wave Video

AUDUSD : Trading the Move Higher

March 1, 2021 By EWF Aidan

On February 24 2021 AUDUSD was showing bullish market patterns that was signalling traders that there was a high probability that the pair would make a move higher. The pair has been trending higher since the March 2020 bottom low and we at EWF always advise our members to trade with the trend and not against it.

I posted the AUDUSD buy trade on social media @AidanFX “AUDUSD LONG at 0.7920 Stop Loss at 0.7880 TP at 0.7960 – 0.7980 area.“

The charts below will clearly show the various bullish market patterns that could signal traders to be confident on squeezing the “BUY trigger”

15 Minute Chart February 24 2021 (Ascending Trend Line Support)

15 Minute Chart February 24 2021 (Dynamic Moving Average Support)

15 Minute Chart February 24 2021 (Support Zone)

15 Minute Chart February 24 2021 (Bullish Divergence)

15 Minute Chart February 24 2021 (Bullish Pattern)

15 Minute Chart February 24 2021 (Bullish Breakout Pattern)

The pair eventually moves higher and on February 25 2021 price hits the 1:2 RR target at the 0.8000 (psychological level) from the 0.7920 entry for +80 pips. By the end of the trading week the pair reversed lower from this psychological level but I already hit my target level and closed the LONG/BUY trade way before the move lower. If you followed me on social media @AidanFX you too could have caught the AUDUSD move higher. We at EWF never say we are always right. No market service provider can forecast the markets with 100% accuracy. Only thing we at EWF 100% is that we are RIGHT more than we are WRONG.

AUDUSD 15 Minute Chart February 25 2021

Of course, like any strategy/technique, there will be times when the strategy/technique fails so proper money/risk management should always be used on every trade. Hope you enjoyed this article and follow me on social media for updates and questions> @AidanFX

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AUDUSD : Trading with the Bullish Trend

January 3, 2021 By EWF Aidan

Since March of 2020 AUDUSD has been been moving and trending higher. A bullish trend is clearly visible and we at EWF always encourage our members to trade with the trend and not against it.

On December 28 2020 we advised traders, in our members area, that AUDUSD was still in a bullish cycle and that another rally higher was developing and in the works.

AUDUSD 1 Hour Chart New York Update 12.28.2020

I also posted the BUY/LONG trade setups entry on social media @AidanFX “AUDUSD BUY 0.7554 SL 0.7514 TP 0.7594” on December 22/2020 and “AUDUSD another push higher towards 0.7636 area as long price stays above 0.7556. LONGSIDE.” on December 28/2020

AUDUSD December 22 and 28/2020 Social Media Post @AidanFX

BUY/LONG trade first entry AUDUSD moves higher and on December 23 2020 price hits the 1:1 RR Target at 0.7594 from 0.7554 for +40 pips. On December 28 added BUY/LONG second entry and on December 29 2020 price hits the the second entry 1:1 RR target (black) at 0.7636 from 0.7596 entry for +40 pips while still holding first entry. AUDUSD continues moving higher and on December 30 2020 the pair hits the 1:3 RR Target at 0.7674 from 0.7554 (1st entry) for +120 pips. If you were a EWF member or followed me on social media @AidanFX you too could have caught the AUDUSD move higher. We at EWF never say we are always right. No market service provider can forecast markets with 100% accuracy. Only thing we at EWF 100% is that we are RIGHT more than we are WRONG.

AUDUSD 1 Hour Chart December 23, 28, 29 and 30/2020

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Elliott Wave View: Further Weakness in AUDUSD

October 30, 2020 By EWFHendra

AUDUSD shows an incomplete sequence from September 1 peak favoring further downside. The decline from there is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from September 1 peak (0.741), wave ((A)) ended at 0.7 and wave ((B)) ended at 0.724. Pair is currently within wave ((C)) lower and the subdivision of this wave ((C)) is in 5 waves, as 45 minutes chart below shows.

In the short term chart below, wave (1) of ((C)) ended at 0.7017. Bounce in wave (2) of ((C)) ended at 0.7158 as a double zigzag. Up from wave (1) low at 0.7017, wave W ended at 0.713, wave X ended at 0.708 and wave Y ended at 0.7158. Pair has since resumed lower and broken below wave (1) at 0.7017, suggesting the next leg lower has started.

Down from wave (2) at 0.7158, wave ((i)) ended at 0.7098, and bounce in wave ((ii)) ended at 0.715. Pair then continued lower in wave ((iii)) towards 0.703 and wave ((iv)) ended at 0.707. Final leg lower in wave ((v)) ended at 0.7. This 5 waves move lower completed wave 1 of (3). Expect wave 2 bounce to fail below 0.715 for more downside. As far as pivot at 0.715 high stays intact, rally should fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for more downside.