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A 25% Drop Shook Traders… but SHOP Still Points Higher

December 27, 2025 By EWFLuis

Shopify (SHOP) enters the next quarters with solid momentum, and more importantly, its latest results suggest that this strength is not temporary. The company delivered 31% year‑over‑year revenue growth. Also, it saw GMV accelerate across North America, Europe, and Asia, with Europe alone growing 42% on a constant‑currency basis. As a result, management now expects revenue to expand at a mid‑to‑high‑twenties pace next quarter, while gross profit should rise at a low‑twenties rate. Taken together, these indicators point to a business benefiting from both resilient merchant activity and the compounding effects of its long‑term product investments.

Looking ahead, Shopify’s financial posture appears increasingly disciplined. The company plans to keep operating expenses at 38%–39% of revenue, and at the same time, it anticipates maintaining free cash flow margins in the mid‑to‑high teens. Consequently, investors can expect the stock to trade with a constructive bias as the company balances growth with expanding profitability. If these trends continue, Shopify could enter the next quarters with a clearer path toward sustained margin expansion, stronger liquidity, and a valuation supported by consistent execution rather than speculative enthusiasm.

Elliott Wave Outlook: SHOP Daily Chart August 2025

Elliott Wave Outlook: SHOP Daily Chart August 2025

Last update, SHOP had extended its rally. It formed a clean impulsive structure. The earnings gap hit resistance near 154.61, and we labeled that level as wave (3) of ((3)). From there, we expected more upside. Waves 4s and 5s were set to unfold, pushing price into wave ((5)) of V. As a result, that advance was likely to complete wave V of (I). After that, we anticipated a new correction. Wave V of (I) was projected to finish above 166.30. Therefore, we avoided selling. We focused only on buying opportunities. (If you want to learn more about Elliott Wave Principle, please follow these links: and .) 

Elliott Wave Outlook: SHOP Daily Chart December 2025

Elliott Wave Outlook: SHOP Daily Chart December 2025

Today’s update shows that after completing wave (4), price resumed its advance in wave (5) of ((3)), reaching a high of 182.19 in October. Then, it faced a sharp correction, dropping 25% to the 136.18 low. This decline may have misled many traders into thinking a higher‑degree pullback had begun. However, that is not the case, because the bullish trend can still extend.

At this stage, we expect the market to build an impulse as wave ((5)) of V to complete the cycle that started in November. This move could reach the 192.40–210.07 zone, where we anticipate strong selling pressure, at least enough to trigger a corrective reaction. Even so, market conditions remain bullish, and we cannot rule out further upside. Therefore, the strategy stays the same: buy the dips until price reaches the next zone and then evaluate the reaction there.

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Filed Under: Stock Market Tagged With: Nasdaq, SHOP, Shopify

Why Traders Are Watching QS More Closely Than Ever?

December 26, 2025 By EWFLuis

QuantumScape (QS) enters the next quarter at a pivotal moment. The company moves from lab‑scale development to real‑world validation after shipping its B1 sample cells, a key milestone noted in recent reports. This step strengthens its long‑term case for solid‑state battery leadership as it improves energy density, charging speed, and safety. Even so, QuantumScape remains pre‑revenue and continues to refine its manufacturing processes. These processes still face cost and scalability challenges. In addition, its partnership with a top‑10 global automaker adds credibility, yet investors should still expect volatility as QS moves through capital‑intensive phases.

From a market perspective, analysts hold a cautious view for the next 12 months. They maintain a consensus “Sell” rating and set an average price target near $9, which suggests possible downside from current levels. As a result, the stock may react more to execution risk and broader EV sentiment than to fundamentals, since the company lacks near‑term revenue catalysts. While a breakthrough in solid‑state commercialization could spark momentum, the more realistic outlook points to steady and gradual progress. Therefore, traders should view QS as a speculative technology play where timing, risk tolerance, and shifting narratives matter most.

Elliott Wave Outlook: QuantumScape (QS) Weekly Chart July 2025

Elliott Wave Outlook: QuantumScape (QS) Weekly Chart July 2025

In July, QuantumScape (QS) completed a major pullback that marked the end of Wave II at the 3.40 low. Shortly after, the price broke above 9.52 and then 13.86, which strongly signaled that the bearish cycle had likely ended and a new upward phase had begun. As a result, the market appeared to be forming an impulsive structure, identified as Wave (1). However, it was still too early to confirm where Wave (1) will finish, so traders should stay alert and watch for a clean, high‑probability pattern.

Once Wave (1) completes, the chart should transition into a corrective move in 3, 7, or 11 swings to form Wave (2). After that, the next bullish leg can develop. This entire outlook remains valid as long as the price holds above the 3.40 low.

Elliott Wave Outlook: QuantumScape (QS) Weekly Chart December 2025

Elliott Wave Outlook: QuantumScape (QS) Weekly Chart December 2025

At the end of the year, Wave (1) ended at the 19.07 high back in October, and the chart then shifted into a corrective phase as Wave (2) began. We believe Wave (2) could drop into the 6–7 dollar zone before the rally continues above 19.07. However, whether the price makes one more low to complete Wave A of (2) or not, we still expect a rebound as Wave B. This bounce could reach the 15–17 area before the chart resumes its decline into Wave C of (2). Ultimately, only a break above the Wave (1) high would confirm that Wave (2) has already finished and that QS has started a new bullish cycle. (If you want to learn more about Elliott Wave Principle, please follow these links: and .) 

Transform Your Trading with Elliott Wave Forecast!

Ready to take control of your trading journey? At Elliott Wave Forecast, we provide the tools you need to stay ahead in the market:

✅ Blue Boxes: Stay ahead in the market with fresh 1-hour charts updated four times daily, daily 4-hour charts on 78 instruments. Precise Blue Box zones that highlight high-probability trade setups based on sequences and cycles.

✅ Live Sessions: Join our daily live discussions and stay on the right side of the market.

✅ Real-Time Guidance: Get your questions answered in our interactive chat room with expert moderators.

🔥 Special Offer: Start your journey with a 14-day trial for only $0.99. Gain access to exclusive forecasts and Blue Box trade setups. No risks, cancel anytime by reaching out to us at support@elliottwave-forecast.com.

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Filed Under: Stock Market Tagged With: Batteries, Electric Cars, Nasdaq, QS

NASDAQ (NQ_F) Elliott Wave: Buying the Dips in a Blue Box

December 12, 2025 By EWF Vlada

Hello traders. As our members know we have had many profitable trading setups recently.   In this technical article, we are going to talk about another Elliott Wave trading setup we got in E-mini Nasdaq-100 Futures.  Recently NQ_F made a clear three-wave correction. The pull back completed as Elliott Wave Double Three pattern and made a decent rally. In this discussion, we’ll break down the Elliott Wave pattern and present targets. Let’s start by explaining the pattern.

NQ_F Elliott Wave 4 Hour  Chart 11.18.2025

The Futures is forming a 3-wave pullback in wave (4) blue. At the moment, we can see incomplete sequences from the main peak, labeled as wave (3) blue. Our members know that we constantly emphasize the importance of incomplete sequences, as these determine the market’s path.
The structure suggests more weakness toward the Equal Legs area at 24145–23097, where we are looking to re-enter as buyers. We expect at least a three-wave bounce from the Blue Box area.

Did you know ?  90% of traders fail because they don’t understand market patterns. Are you in the top 10%? Test yourself with this advanced Elliott Wave Test

Official trading strategy on How to trade 3, 7, or 11 swing and equal leg is explained in details in Educational Video, available for members viewing inside the membership area.

NQ_F

NQ_F Elliott Wave 4 Hour  Chart 12.11.2025

E-mini Nasdaq-100 Futures found buyers as expected at the Blue Box area, making decent bounce.  While above the last low 23905 low we count (4) blue correction completed. Wave (5 ) can be in progress toward new highs, targeting 26989 area.

Reminder for members: Our chat rooms in the membership area are available 24 hours a day, providing expert insights on market trends and Elliott Wave analysis. Don’t hesitate to reach out with any questions about the market, Elliott Wave patterns, or technical analysis. We’re here to help.

NQ_F

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Filed Under: Blue Box Wins, Stock Market Tagged With: Blue Box, Elliott Wave, Nasdaq, NQ_F, trading, trading setups, trading signals

QQQ : Found Buyers After Double Three Pattern

December 5, 2025 By EWF Vlada

Hello traders. As our members know we have had many profitable trading setups recently.   In this technical article, we are going to talk about another Elliott Wave trading setup we got in Invesco NASDAQ ETF.  Recently the ETF made a clear three-wave correction. The pull back completed as Elliott Wave Double Three pattern and made a decent rally. In this discussion, we’ll break down the Elliott Wave pattern and present targets. Let’s start by explaining the pattern.

Elliott Wave Double Three Pattern

Double three is the common pattern in the market. It’s a reliable pattern which is giving us good trading entries with clearly defined invalidation levels.
The picture below presents what Elliott Wave Double Three pattern looks like. It has (W),(X),(Y) labeling and 3,3,3 inner structure, which means all of these 3 legs are corrective sequences. Each (W) and (Y) are made of 3 swings , they’re having A,B,C structure in lower degree, or alternatively they can have W,X,Y labeling.

AUDJPYNow, let’s look at how this pattern appears in a real market example.

QQQ Elliott Wave 4 Hour  Chart 11.18.2025

The ETF is forming a 3-wave pullback, unfolding as a Double Three pattern. At the moment, we can see incomplete sequences in both cycles: from the main peak on October 29th, labeled as wave (3) blue, and from the smaller cycle starting on November 12th, labeled as X red. Our members know that we constantly emphasize the importance of incomplete sequences, as these determine the market’s path.
The structure suggests more weakness toward the Equal Legs area at 586.28–561.62, where we are looking to re-enter as buyers. We expect at least a three-wave bounce from the Blue Box area. Once the price reaches the 50% Fibonacci retracement against the red X connector, we will make the position risk-free by moving the stop loss to breakeven and booking partial profits.

Did you know ?  90% of traders fail because they don’t understand market patterns. Are you in the top 10%? Test yourself with this advanced Elliott Wave Test

Official trading strategy on How to trade 3, 7, or 11 swing and equal leg is explained in details in Educational Video, available for members viewing inside the membership area.

QQQ

 

QQQ Elliott Wave 4 Hour  Chart 11.26.2025

QQQ found buyers as expected at the Blue Box area, making decent bounce.  While above the last low 580.31 low we count (4) blue correction completed. Wave (5 ) can be in progress toward new highs, targeting 652.32 area.

Reminder for members: Our chat rooms in the membership area are available 24 hours a day, providing expert insights on market trends and Elliott Wave analysis. Don’t hesitate to reach out with any questions about the market, Elliott Wave patterns, or technical analysis. We’re here to help.

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Filed Under: Blue Box Wins, Stock Market Tagged With: Elliott Wave, ETF, Nasdaq, QQQ, trading, trading setups, trading signals

Micron MU Rockets Toward $300: Is This the AI Supercycle You Can’t Afford to Miss?

November 27, 2025 By EWFLuis

Micron Technology MU has surged recently up nearly 7.9% from its previous close. Analysts remain broadly bullish, with Wells Fargo, Mizuho, and UBS all raising price targets into the $265–$300 range, citing strong demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and DRAM pricing momentum. This optimism reflects Micron’s positioning in the AI-driven data center cycle, where memory content growth and disciplined capital expenditure are expected to support margins.

Looking ahead, investors should anticipate continued volatility as the market works through its consolidation phase. Yet the broader trend remains constructive, with Micron’s roadmap for HBM4e and enterprise SSDs positioned to capture expanding demand from AI infrastructure. Once the correction resolves, the transition toward a breakout will be critical. Discipline in waiting for pullbacks offers the higher-probability path, as analysts project Micron’s revenue growth to extend through 2026, reinforcing the case for renewed upside momentum.

Elliott Wave Outlook: MU Weekly Chart July 2025

MU Weekly Chart July 2025

Back in July, the market broke below wave (B) at 83.54, confirming that wave ((B)) had already ended. This break coincided with the announcement of new U.S. tariff changes, shifting sentiment and invalidating the anticipated flat. Wave ((B)) ultimately concluded at 104.69 in a triangular formation, which then initiated wave ((C)) of II.

From there, the market declined sharply to 61.54, completing the correction on April 7. Price action then turned decisively bullish, signaling the start of an impulsive advance. Our outlook identified the stock as building wave (1), with price action advancing into wave 3 of (1). At that time, the structure suggested continued upside, though we expected periods of range-bound behavior as wave 3 matured. Ideally, we expected wave 3 to extend into the 132.82–137.41 zone, where a bearish reaction could mark its completion. Following that stage, our expectation was for consolidation before a final rally would complete wave (1) and transition into a corrective phase. (If you want to learn more about Elliott Wave Principle, please follow these links: and .)

Elliott Wave Outlook: MU Daily Chart November 2025

In this November update, we can see how MU continues to follow an impulsive structure. We adjusted the count by changing (1) to ((1)) and (2) to ((2)). Wave ((1)) ended at the 129.96 high, followed by a correction that reached the 102.94 low. From that point, the extension of wave ((3)) began. As you know, in Elliott Wave theory, wave ((3)) is usually expected to be the strongest, even though this is not a strict requirement for an impulse. The rule is that it cannot be the shortest wave. Indeed, wave ((3)) extended to 261.03 in November, and then, over four days, MU experienced a sharp decline to 192.58, which we identified as wave ((4)). At that stage, many traders assumed a major correction had started; however, it remains possible that MU could still break above the high of wave ((3))

Looking ahead, the minimum target lies at 276.95, and the market could extend higher if momentum continues. The key idea is that MU must break above 261.03 to complete wave ((5)) of III before another significant correction occurs. Importantly, reaching 276.95 does not imply an immediate short‑selling opportunity; rather, it represents a target, not a sell signal. After all, the market may continue its upward trajectory. Therefore, in the next update, we will evaluate whether entering short positions becomes feasible or if the bullish momentum remains dominant.

Transform Your Trading with Elliott Wave Forecast!

Ready to take control of your trading journey? At Elliott Wave Forecast, we provide the tools you need to stay ahead in the market:

✅ Blue Boxes: Stay ahead in the market with fresh 1-hour charts updated four times daily, daily 4-hour charts on 78 instruments. Precise Blue Box zones that highlight high-probability trade setups based on sequences and cycles.

✅ Live Sessions: Join our daily live discussions and stay on the right side of the market.

✅ Real-Time Guidance: Get your questions answered in our interactive chat room with expert moderators.

🔥 Special Black Friday Offer: Start your journey with up to $500 off. Gain access to exclusive forecasts and Blue Box trade setups. No risks, cancel anytime by reaching out to us at support@elliottwave-forecast.com.

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Click in the next link, go to Home Chat and ask for a flat discount code saying that you saw this in Luis’ Blog: 🌐

Filed Under: Stock Market Tagged With: MU Micron Semiconductors, Nasdaq, NVDIA

Temporary Pause, Tactical Opportunity: IONQ ABC Setup in Focus

November 19, 2025 By Hassan Sheikh

In this technical blog, we will look at the IONQ recent price action. The company deals in quantum computing, specializes in developing and manufacturing quantum computers. The stock made a rally higher as highlighted in last September 2025 update here. Rally higher took place took place in another 5 waves structure and made a pullback, which ends up entering into previous wave I territory. Thus suggested that it’s no longer wave (III) taking place. We will explain the latest forecast below:

IONQ Latest Elliott Wave Chart From 11.19.2025

Temporary Pause, Tactical Opportunity: IONQ ABC Setup in Focus

This is the latest Elliott wave chart from 11.19.2025 update. In which, the main cycle from all time low still 3 waves rally higher taking place. While the rally from December 2022 low unfolded in a diagonal 5 waves structure where wave I ended at $21.60 high. Wave II pullback ended at $6.22 low, wave III ended at $54.74 high, wave IV pullback ended at $17.88 low. Up from there, the stock made a rally into new high towards $84.64 high and ended wave V thus completed wave (I).

Down from there, the stock is probably doing a 3 wave pullback to correct the cycle from December 2022 low within wave (II) pullback. Whereas current leg of the pullback can end in between $$33.38- $25.77 area. Subsequently, can see at least 3 wave reaction higher. Don’t like selling it and swing traders should watch out for clear A-B-C setup from the peak.

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Filed Under: Stock Market Tagged With: Elliott Wave, Elliott Wave Analysis, Elliott Wave Forecast, Elliottwave, IONQ, Nasdaq, stock market, Stocks, trading

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Disclaimer: Futures, options, stocks, ETFs and over the counter foreign exchange products may involve substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you as well as for you. You should therefore carefully consider your investment experience as well as financial condition before deciding if trading is suitable for you.