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From Bounce to Barrier: Oil Path to the Next Sell Zone

November 7, 2025 By Hassan Sheikh

The short term price action in OIL suggests that the decline from 23rd June 2025 peak ended in 3 waves structure. Up from there, it has made a 5 waves bounce from the lows therefore we suspect that it can be correcting that cycle in simple zigzag correction into the path to the next sell zone. Now lets take a look at this hourly chart below:

OIL 1-Hour Elliott Wave Chart From 11.07.2025

From Bounce to Barrier: Oil Path to the Next Sell Zone

Above is the latest hourly view on OIL from 11.07.2025 Asia update. In which, the decline from $56.29 low has completed wave (W) of the decline from 6.23.2025 peak. Up from there, the bounce unfolded in 5 waves impulse sequence where wave ((i)) ended at $58.27 high. Wave ((ii)) pullback ended at 56.99 low, wave ((iii)) rallied towards $62.20 and wave ((iv)) ended at $61.21 low. Then a new high towards $62.59 high ended wave ((v)) thus completed wave A of a zigzag correction.

Down from there, OIL is correcting the cycle from 10.20.2025 low in wave B pullback. The internals of this ongoing pullback is taking place as double three correction where wave ((w)) ended in lesser degree 3 waves at $59.70 low. Then another 3 wave bounce ended wave ((x)) at $61.50 high. Since than, wave ((y)) is unfolding in another 3 waves. But it can reach $58.61- $56.82 area lower first before starting the C leg higher.

OIL Elliott Wave Video:

Filed Under: Commodities, News Tagged With: CL, CL_F, Elliott Wave, Elliott Wave Analysis, Elliott Wave Forecast, Elliottwave, Oil, trading, trading setup, trading setups

Oil (CL) Should Continue Lower to Build an Impulsive Structure

August 6, 2024 By EWFLuis

Short Term Elliott Wave View in Oil (CL) suggests that cycle from 4.12.2024 high is in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from 4.12.2024 high, wave (1) ended at 72.48 and rally in wave (2) ended at 84.55. The commodity has turned lower in wave (3) with internal subdivision as another impulse in lesser degree. Down from wave (2), wave (i) ended at 83.07 and rally in wave (ii) ended at 83.45. Oil then extended lower in wave (iii) towards 81.25 and wave (iv) ended at 82.16. Final leg wave (v) ended at 80.81 which completed wave ((i)) in higher degree. Wave ((ii)) unfolded in an expanded flat structure where wave (a) ended at 83.74. Wave (b) lower ended at 80.22, and rally in wave (c) ended at 83.82 which completed wave ((ii)).

Oil has turned lower in wave ((iii)) ended at 76.40 low. The market built an expanded flat correction as wave ((iv)) finishing at 78.60 high and turned lower again. CL broke below wave ((iii)) to end wave ((v)) of 1 at 74.59 low and also we ended wave 1 of (3). Up from wave 1, the market bounce in a zig zag correction ending wave 2 at 78.88 high and starting wave 3 of (3) to the downside. After 5 swings lower, wave ((i)) of 3 completed at 71.67 low and currently we are calling 3 swings higher to end wave ((ii)) pullback before resuming lower. Therefore, we expect further downside to complete wave ((iii)) of 3. Near term, as far as pivot at 78.88 high stays intact, expect rallies to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside.

Oil (CL) 60 Minutes Elliott Wave Chart

CL Elliott Wave Video

Filed Under: Commodities, News Tagged With: CL, Crude oil

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