The aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis saw a massive deleveraging and repricing of risky assets, forcing many central banks in the world to adopt near-zero interest rate and in some cases introduce unconventional monetary policy like quantitative easing. Fast forward to 2016 today, after 7 years of near-zero interest rate policy, the Federal Reserve […]

Short term Elliott Wave cycle suggests decline from wave X at 118.38 is unfolding in a double three structure where wave ((w)) ended at 115.96 and wave ((x)) bounce is proposed complete at 117.48. While below 117.48, but more importantly as far as 118.38 pivot stays intact, pair is expected to resume lower in wave ((y)) towards […]

Short term Elliott Wave cycle suggests cycle from 12/4 peak at 134.58 remains alive as a double three where wave (W) ended at 127 and wave (X) bounce is in progress as a triangle. Wave A of (X) in the triangle is proposed complete at 129.08, and as far as bounces stay below this level, the triangle idea remains […]

Short term Elliott Wave cycle suggests cycle from 12/4 peak at 134.58 remains alive as a double three where wave (W) ended at 127 and wave (X) bounce is in progress as a triangle. Wave A of (X) in the triangle is proposed complete at 129.08, and as far bounces stay below this level, the triangle idea remains valid […]

The combination of commodity selloff, prospect for more U.S. Dollar interest rate hikes, and Emerging Market capital outflow has put pressure in risky assets to start 2016. In this environment, USD performance is mixed: rising against commodity-linked and Emerging Market currencies, but not doing as well against Developed Market surplus currencies. Current dynamics in fact […]

Short term Elliott Wave cycle suggests rally from wave (X) low at 1.38 is unfolding in a double three structure where wave W ended at 1.417, wave X ended at 1.406, and pair has resumed higher in wave Y towards 1.44 area or higher. Near term, rally to 1.431 ended wave ((w)), wave ((x)) pullback ended […]