Nasdaq Archives - Page 9 of 13 - Elliott Wave Forecast

QQQ (Nasdaq ETF) reaches risk free area from blue box

October 9, 2024 By EWFSanmi

Hello traders. Welcome to a new ‘blue box’ blog post where we discuss our most recent trade setups shared with Elliottwave-Forecast members. In this one, we will discuss the Qs – QQQ (Investico QQQ ETF).

The Invesco QQQ ETF tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index, focusing on 100 large non-financial companies, mainly in technology, healthcare, and consumer sectors. It’s a popular choice for investors seeking exposure to large-cap tech companies.

The post-COVID recovery for U.S. markets began in October 2022, and since then, the market has sustained a bullish cycle, producing a series of higher highs and higher lows. In such bullish sequences, we prefer to buy pullbacks in 3, 7, or 11 swings. The QQQ ETF has followed a similar pattern, with its price recovering from every pullback before July 2024.

Notably, the bullish impulse sequence that started in October 2022 still appears incomplete, leading us to continue buying this ETF on dips. The most recent pullback occurred between July and August 2024, followed by a resurgence that has yet to break the previous high from July 2024. However, a higher-high sequence emerged when the ETF breached its August high, presenting an opportunity within the shorter cycles.

QQQ Elliott Wane Analysis – 10.01.2024 Update

We identified an impulse wave sequence in the shorter cycles after the price broke above the August 2024 high. Consequently, we informed our members that we would look to buy the next 3, 7, or 11 swings pullback at the equal leg. To illustrate this, the abridged chart above illustrated end of wave 4, highlighting the blue box area, indicating a buy at 477/478 with a stop at 470.

Our plan was to adjust the stop to either the entry point or the low of wave (c) once the price made a significant bounce to what we call the “risk-free area.” At that point, we typically close half of the position for profit and reduce the stop on the remaining portion. This strategy aims to create a risk-free trade.

QQQ Elliott Wane Analysis – 10.09.2024 Update

We shared the chart on 10/09/2024, showing the expected price bounce from the blue box. Members have already closed half of their positions for profit and adjusted the rest to breakeven. This allows them to hold the remaining position risk-free until the target is reached. This frees up capital to allocate toward other opportunities. However, if the price turns lower from this point to form a deeper wave 4, we won’t hesitate to buy again. In that case, we will provide an updated chart with a new blue box for members to follow.

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AT&T Inc. (T) Reacted from the Blue Box and Rally Must Continue

September 16, 2024 By EWFLuis

AT&T Inc. (T) is an American multinational telecommunications holding company headquartered in Dallas, Texas. It is the world’s largest telecommunications company by revenue and the third-largest provider of mobile telephone services in the U.S.

AT&T (T) Monthly Chart April 2024

Above we have montly chart from 5 months ago. We can see that AT&T shares finished an all-time high with a price of $45.23 as wave ((I)). Since the beginning of 1999, the value held a downtrend and we were looking to end this correction. Using the Elliott Wave Principle, a double correction structure (w), (x) and (y) can be clearly seen. From the peak, we have 3 waves in a flat structure that ended wave (w) at $14.17 low. Then, we had another flat structure that built a wave (x) ending in the value of $33.33 high.

The last leg of the double correction is the wave (y). We had already completed wave a and b of (y), and we were developing wave c as an ending diagonal. The market had already reached the blue box in the $8.58 – $16.75 area expecting a rally soon because the market had break wave (w) low and the cycle could have ended. However, we were looking for one more leg lower to complete a clear structure below $13.43 to end wave ((II)) correction and resume the rally.

AT&T (T) Monthly Chart September 2024

On the current monthly chart, we can see the rally that left the blue box. This invalidated the bearish continuation of the ending diagonal as wave c. The rally does not mean that T cannot resume to the downside again. To confirm that wave ((II)) is over at $13.43 low, the market needs to break above of wave (x) high. Until then, T could make perfectly any other structure that leads us to lower prices.

AT&T (T) Weekly Chart September 2024

The weekly chart above shows how the wave ((5)) of c of the ending diagonal completed the structure. The (A), (B), (C) looks like more as the wave ((1)) and we were looking for one more like wave ((3)). That is why we were calling for more one more leg lower. Wave ((II)) ended at $13.43 low and rally and it should be developing an impulse higher as wave I. The first leg higher as wave ((1)) ended at $18.16 high. Wave ((2)) pullback finished at $15.94 low and rally again. AT&T has pushed strongly higher breaking the pivots of the RSI in the weekly timeframe, suggesting the market cycle is over. Now, we should expect to build an impulse structure as the chart before seeing 3, 7 or 11 swings correction as wave II.

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Palantir (PLTR) Should Keep the Rally to Build a Wave ((3))

September 10, 2024 By EWFLuis

Palantir Technologies (PLTR), Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the development of data integration and software solutions. It operates through the Commercial and Government segments. The firm offers automotive, financial compliance, legal intelligence, mergers and acquisitions solutions.

PALANTIR (PLTR) Weekly Chart May 2024

Palantir ended a cycle at $45.00 in January 2021. Then it did a deep pullback as a zig zag correction ending wave (II) at 5.91 low. The market started an impulse structure as wave ((1)) ended at $20.27. Then, wave ((2)) started and it did a running flat correction. The wave (A) ended at $13.68 low and rallied breaking wave ((1)) high completing wave (B) at $21.85. Last leg as wave (C) developed an ending diagonal structure ending at $15.66 low and wave ((2)) correction. Market rallied in 5 waves ending an impulse at $27.50 high as wave ((3)). Next pullback completed at $20.33 low and for us that was the end of wave ((4)) correction. We expected to continue higher to end a wave ((5)) and complete the whole wave I before seeing a correction in 3, 7 or 11 swings as wave II. This wave ((5)) should end in $29.23 – $32.00 area. (If you want to learn more about Elliott Wave Theory, follow these links: Elliott Wave Education and Elliott Wave Theory).

PALANTIR (PLTR) Weekly Chart September 2024

After 4 months, you can check above the current weekly count of PLTR. We have changed the degree of the count. The market conditions suggest PLTR is still in wave I; therefore, we change the wave I for wave ((1)). Wave ((1)) ended at $29.83 in $29.23 – $32.00 area where we were expecting to hit a target. Then, the price pullback to 21.23 where we called wave ((2)) completed resuming with a strong rally breaking above wave ((1)), supporting that wave ((3)) is underway. For now, we are looking to continue to the upside until completing wave ((3)). We should look for buying dips as price remains above wave ((2)) low.

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CrowdStrike (CRWD) Is Not Ready to Resume that Rally. Bull Trap Ahead.

September 2, 2024 By EWFLuis

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD) is an American cybersecurity technology company based in Austin, Texas. It provides cloud workload and endpoint security, threat intelligence, and cyberattack response services.

CrowdStrike (CRWD) July 2021 Daily Chart

The chart above shows the daily view that we forecast 3 years ago. We were expecting to end an very important market cycle in the blue box area between 303.60 – 271.69. This cycle would end an impulse on CRWD since it listed on the stock exchange. Once the impulse would end as wave (I), we expected a big correction as wave (II). (If you want to learn more about Elliott Wave Theory, follow these links: Elliott Wave Education and Elliott Wave Theory).

CrowdStrike (CRWD) February 2022 Daily Chart

Six months later, We can see the wave (I) ended in the proposed blue box area at 298.48 high developing an ending diagonal. The market reacted perfectly to the downside and we called completed a double correction as wave (II) at 150.02 low. Exactly at the 50% Fibonacci retracement, the stock bounce suggesting the pullback was over and the rally should continue to break 298.48 high in a new cycle.

CrowdStrike (CRWD) August 2024 Daily Chart

After 3 years, we have above the current weekly chart. We can see the cycle we called completed the wave (II) at 150.02, it just was part of a bigger double correction. Therefore, the cycle that ended at 150.02 was wave “w”, then we have expanded flat correction as wave “x” ending at 205.73. Last push lower finished wave “y” at 92.25 low completing wave (II) pullback. The rally we thought went to start in Jan 2022, started at Jan 2023.

From 92.25 low, CRWD built a clear impulse to the upside. Wave ((1)) ended at 166.99 and pullback as wave ((2)) ended at 140.52 low. Then, it had a big rally reaching all time new highs at 365.00 ending wave ((3)). Wave ((4)) finished at 280.88 low and rally again to complete wave ((5)) at 398.33 and also wave I of (III). After this wave I, we can see a very sharp drop making the stock to lose 50% of his value. As last time, with this pullback wave II could be complete already. However, we are calling as part of a bigger wave II. The global market is showing some relative bullish exhaustion that could send the stock to see more downside. Wave ((A)) of wave II ended at 200.81 and we are expecting a corrective rally to stay below 398.33 high. Then market should resume lower in wave ((C)) of II to complete the structure before resuming to the upside,

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Elliott Wave Intraday Analysis: NFLX Should Continue Rally

August 16, 2024 By EWFLuis

Short Term Elliott Wave in NFLX suggests that the Stock has completed a bearish sequence from 7.05.2024 high. The decline made a double correction Elliott Wave structure. Down from 7.05.2024 high, wave (W) ended at 600.00 low. Rally in wave (X) ended at 678.97 with internal subdivision as a zig zag correction structure. Up from wave (W), wave A ended at 655.54 and wave B ended at 631.50. Wave C higher ended at 678.97 which completed wave (X) in higher degree.

Then, NFLX turned lower in wave (Y) with internal subdivision as another double correction structure. Down from wave (X), wave W ended at 617.00 and wave X ended at 646.71. Last leg wave Y lower ended at 583.50 which completed wave (Y) and ((4)) in higher degree. The current rally is in progress expecting to continue higher as wave ((5)). Near term, we are calling a leading diagonal as wave 1 of (1) of ((5)). This wave 1 ended at 632.00 high and wave 2 pullback finished at 605.50. From this point, the stock resumed to the upside in wave 3 and once the wave 3 is completed, it should see 3, 7 or 11 swings correction as wave 4 before resuming the rally again.

NFLX 30 Minutes Elliott Wave Chart

NFLX Elliott Wave Video

NASDAQ (NQ_F) Nice Reaction Higher From Blue Box Area

August 12, 2024 By Hassan Sheikh

In this technical blog, we will look at the past performance of the 4-hour Elliott Wave Charts of NASDAQ (NQ_F). We presented to members at the elliottwave-forecast. In which, the rally from the 13 October 2022 low unfolded as an impulse structure and showed a green right side tag. Suggested that the index should see more upside extension to complete the impulse sequence. Therefore, we advised members not to sell the index & buy the dips in 3, 7, or 11 swings at the blue box areas. We will explain the structure & forecast below:

NASDAQ (NQ_F) 4-Hour Elliott Wave Chart From 8.04.2024

Here’s the 4-hour Elliott wave chart from the 8.04.2024 Weekend update. In which, the short-term cycle from the 1.06.2023 low ended in wave ((3))) as impulse at $20988 high. Down from there, the index made a pullback in wave ((4)) to correct that cycle. The internals of that pullback unfolded as Elliott wave double three structure where wave (W) ended at $18725 low. Wave (X) bounce ended at $19717 high and wave (Y) managed to reach the blue box area at $17465- $16942. From there, buyers were expected to appear looking for the next leg higher or for a 3 wave bounce minimum.

NASDAQ (NQ_F) Latest 4-Hour Elliott Wave Chart From 8.20.2024

This is the latest 4-hour Elliott wave Chart from the 8.20.2024 update. In which the index is showing a reaction higher taking place, right after ending the double correction within the blue box area. Allowed members to create a risk-free position shortly after taking the long position at the blue box area. However, a break above $20988 high is still needed to confirm the next extension higher & avoid double correction lower.

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