The past decade has seen massive reliance on Monetary Policy by Central Bank to maintain economic momentum, but not enough Fiscal Policy or stimulative government intervention. The election of Donald Trump as the new U.S. president is thought to change that. In his first speech as president-elect, Mr. Trump highlighted investment in infrastructure, reinforcing the […]

In February 2016, we spotted 5 swings up from April 2013 low  (XAUAUD) and argued that by the time it completed 7 swings up from April 2013 low, it would have almost broken above August 2011 peak which will make the weekly sequence bullish. In 2nd quarter of 2016, we saw Gold (XAUAUD) making a […]

Best reading of Elliott wave cycles suggests that cycle from 8/30 low is unfolding as a zigzag where wave ((a)) ended at 2.219 and wave ((b)) ended at 2.0845. Wave ((c)) is in progress as 5 waves and the metal has reached 100% of the ((a)) and ((b)) so minimum requirement is met to call wave […]

Cocoa Futures (CC #F) has ended the cycle from all time low at 3775 (March 2011) and then it made a sharp decline into 12/12/2011 low at 1983. Since then, we have seen Cocoa futures rallying in 5 swings which is a bullish sequence. Advance from 12/12/2011 (1983) low to 12/8/2015 (3429) was an overlapping […]

Early this year we made a video talking about the possible low in commodities like GOLD , SILVER and OIL  which means those instrument ended the downside cycle  from the 2011 peaks and that’s why they rallied strongly this year 2016 . However since the start of summer the commodity sector started pulling back in a corrective way which represents an […]

In a significant shift of Arab Saudi’s oil policy since 2008, on Wednesday Sept 24, the kingdom has reached an understanding together with other members of the oil cartel to cut oil’s output to reduce the world’s supply glut. This is in contrast to Arab Saudi’s persistent policy to flood the oil market in the last few years to wage […]