BTC Archives - Elliott Wave Forecast

MicroStrategy (MSTR) Bearish Shift: The Case for Further Weakness

November 11, 2025 By EWFAyoub

Strategy Inc (NASDAQ: MSTR), formerly known as MicroStrategy, remains Bitcoin’s largest corporate holder. However, a stark divergence has emerged throughout 2025. While Bitcoin consistently notches new all-time highs, MSTR stock displays persistent weakness and failing momentum. This disconnect signals underlying technical damage.

Today, we analyze the bearish Elliott Wave sequence explaining this underperformance. Our analysis outlines the critical support levels and downside targets if this corrective phase continues.

Elliott Wave Analysis

A clear positive correlation linked MSTR and Bitcoin since November 2022. However, this relationship fractured after two years. MicroStrategy peaked at $543 in November 2024. Subsequently, it entered a sideways trend. Meanwhile, Bitcoin continued climbing to new highs. Furthermore, MSTR made new yearly lows. In contrast, Bitcoin held firmly above its April 2025 low.

The MSTR daily chart shows a confirmed bearish sequence. Since the November 2024 peak, the stock has broken below the February 2025 low. This action confirms a larger double three correction is now in progress.

It completed wave “w” in February 2025. Then, wave” x” bounced higher. Currently, wave “y” remains in progress. Wave ((W)) reached the 61.8-76.4% Fibonacci zone. Consequently, a three-wave bounce in wave ((X)) is likely soon. However, the downtrend should then resume.

Ultimately, the equal legs target lies at $138 – $63. Once this buying area is reached, expect a strong reaction higher. Therefore, investors will likely position for the next uptrend. Ideally, this new rally will begin next year.

MSTR Daily Chart 11.11.2025

Conclusion

Strategy stock MSTR is undergoing a daily correction. Consequently, traders can use short-term bounces as selling opportunities. Meanwhile, investors should wait for the next extreme area before buying the stock. Use our Elliott Wave strategy to time entries with precision. Enter after a 3-, 7-, or 11-swing correction completes. Additionally, our proprietary Blue Box system highlights high-probability zones with pinpoint accuracy. As a result, this disciplined method gives traders the clarity and confidence to catch the next bullish leg.

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Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Elliott Wave: Incomplete Sequence Calling the Path Ahead

November 9, 2025 By EWF Vlada

Hello traders. As our members know, we’ve been favoring the long side in BTCUSD and have made profitable long setups. However, the structure recently has shown clear incomplete sequences from the peak, suggesting more downside in the near term. In this technical article, we are going to present short term Elliott Wave forecast of Bitcoin, including target areas.

BTCUSD Elliott Wave 1 Hour Chart 11.04.2025

Let’s take a look at the BTCUSD Elliott Wave chart from November 4th, which we presented to members. Back then, we suggested that Bitcoin still trades within the cycle from the 126,253 all-time high. One reason for that outlook is the new short-term low in crypto, marked by a break below the 106,426 low. ( wave ((i)) black on the chart below). This break shows that the cycle from wave 2 red peak remains incomplete. We expect more downside toward the 101,520–99,243 area . A break below wave 1 red would confirm this view. In that case, the cycle from the all-time high stays incomplete and could extend toward the 94,492–89,249.

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Galaxy Digital (NASDAQ: GLXY) Bullish Break Out

October 7, 2025 By EWFAyoub

Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd. (NASDAQ: GLXY) operates as a leading force in the digital asset ecosystem, providing crucial financial services for the institutional crypto market. As Bitcoin decisively breaks into new all-time highs, Galaxy has ridden this wave of institutional adoption, confirming a powerful bullish regime for the entire sector.

Today, we dissect the Elliott Wave pattern shaping GLXY’s trajectory. Furthermore, our analysis provides a clear technical roadmap with specific targets for its continued ascent. The convergence of a dominant sector tailwind and a clear wave structure creates a compelling technical opportunity.

Elliott Wave Analysis

GLXY has surged over 1500% from its 2022 low, additionally it decisively broke its 2021 peak of $38. Therefore, this confirms a multi-year bullish sequence. Currently, the stock is building a strong nesting structure. Consequently, this pattern confirms Wave (3) of ((3)) is now accelerating. Notably, this phase typically delivers the market’s most powerful rallies.

The initial upside targets the $40.09 – $48.98 equal legs area. Furthermore, with Wave III still active, the rally could extend toward the $63.38 Fibonacci extension. Ultimately, GLXY should continue advancing until it completes this five-wave structure.

Following this completion, Wave III will finalize. Subsequently, a larger Wave IV correction will unfold. This pullback will then create the next strategic buying opportunity for traders.

GLXY Weekly Chart 10.07.2025

Conclusion

GLXY’s powerful upward framework will uphold the stock during any short-term declines. As a result, investors can systematically use these dips to establish positions across daily and weekly charts.Use our Elliott Wave strategy for optimal timing. Ideally, enter positions after the stock completes a 3, 7, or 11-swing corrective sequence. Furthermore, our extreme Blue Box system pinpoints these entries with high precision. Ultimately, this methodology provides clarity and confidence for capturing the next leg higher.

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Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Elliott Wave: Forecasting the Path

August 20, 2025 By EWF Vlada

Hello fellow traders.

As our members know, we’ve been long in Bitcoin. The crypto has made a solid rally toward new all-time highs, gaining more than 20% since our entry on the June 22nd. In this technical article, we are going to present short term Elliott Wave forecast of BTCUSD. We were calling for a short-term weakness within the pullback against the 111,984 low.

BTCUSD Elliott Wave 1 Hour Weekend Chart 08.17.2025

Current view suggests Bitcoin is doing a correction against the 111,984 low. We can count clear 5 waves in the drop from the peak which indicates we have got most likely on the first leg of pull back thaat is unfolding as a Zig Zag 5-3-5 structure. So,we expect another leg down to retest the 111,984 low.

90% of traders fail because they don’t understand market patterns. Are you in the top 10%? Test yourself with this advanced Elliott Wave Test

Official trading strategy on How to trade 3, 7, or 11 swing and equal leg is explained in details in Educational Video, available for members viewing inside the membership area.

BTCUSD Elliott Wave 1 Hour Weekend Chart 08.17.2025

Bitcoin made the drop as expected. So far, we can count only three waves from the peak, which is an incomplete structure for the ((c)) leg. We expect a short-term bounce followed by a final push down to complete five waves in the ((c)) leg. If the price breaks below the 111,984 low, it will invalidate the Elliott Wave count.

Reminder for members: Please keep in mind that the market is dynamic, and the presented view may have changed in the meantime. Our chat rooms in the membership area are available 24 hours a day, providing expert insights on market trends and Elliott Wave analysis. Don’t hesitate to reach out with any questions about the market, Elliott Wave patterns, or technical analysis. We’re here to help

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MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) Elliott Wave Technical Blueprint

August 12, 2025 By EWFAyoub

MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) remains Bitcoin’s largest corporate holder, driving its stellar performance. Yet while BTC tests all-time highs, MSTR trails 20% below its peak – creating a compelling divergence.. In today’s article, we explore MSTR’s Elliott Wave blueprint and outline the bullish paths that may unfold next.

The Correlation Divergence

MSTR typically outperforms Bitcoin’s moves, offering traders leveraged BTC exposure. Yet recent months revealed troubling divergence. The chart below shows this decoupling clearly.

Two factors could explain the underperformance:

Equity risk premium – Macro concerns weighed on stocks
Liquidity shifts – Capital rotated to pure-play crypto ETFs

The key metric to watch: 30-day correlation coefficient (currently 0.82 vs. 0.93 historic average).

Elliott Wave Structure

MSTR completed a zigzag correction from November 2024, hitting the $240-$192 Blue Box target. The subsequent 5-wave advance into July marked Wave ((1)), establishing $231.51 as critical support. Now, any 3/7/11-swing pullback should complete Wave ((2)) before the next surge.

Aggressive traders note August’s dip may have already finished Wave ((2)). A break above July’s $457 peak confirms Wave ((3)) toward $590-$644.

The key question: Will Wave ((3)) restore MSTR’s leverage advantage?

MicroStrategy MSTR Daily Chart 8.12.2025

Conclusion: A High-Probability Catch-Up Trade

MicroStrategy (MSTR) maintains its bullish Elliott Wave sequence, poised to close its performance gap with Bitcoin. The stock will build momentum through Wave ((3)), typically the strongest phase. Traders can leverage daily pullbacks using our Blue Box strategy

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ETH & XRP Price Prediction After Bitcoin ATH (AltSeason 2025)

July 19, 2025 By EWFAyoub

We conducted a free webinar on Friday, 18th July 2025 at 1:00 PM EDT / 5:00 PM GMT which was streamed live at @Elliottwaveforecast youtube channel.

Key Takeaways from the Webinar

🔥 Elliott Wave Analysis of Bitcoin

🔥 Ripple XRP Price Target Prediction

🔥 Ethereum ETH Forecast

🔥 AltSeason 2025

🔥 + Q&A session

You can watch the recording of this webinar below:

ALTSEASON 2025 STARTING? ETH & XRP price prediction After Bitcoin ATH

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