Short term Elliott Wave view in Exxon Mobil (ticker: $XOM) suggests that the decline from 4.28.2023 high took the form of a 5 waves impulse. Down from 4.28.2023 high, wave (1) ended at 115.64 and rally in wave (2) ended at 117.30. The stock resumes lower again afterwards. Down from wave (2), wave 1 ended at 114.45 and rally in wave 2 ended at 115.22. Stock resumes lower again in wave 3 towards 109.29 and wave 4 rally ended at 111.39. Final leg wave 5 ended at 108.15 which ended wave (3). Stock then rallies higher in wave (4) towards 109.81 and then extends lower in wave (5) towards 105.5. This completed wave ((A)) in higher degree.
Wave ((B)) is currently in progress to correct cycle from 4.28.2023 high. Internal subdivision of wave ((B)) is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave ((A)), wave A ended at 109 and dips in wave B ended at 105.80. Wave C higher ended at 110.97 which completed wave (W). Pullback in wave (X) ended at 108.1 and the stock has resumed higher again. Potential target higher for wave (Y) is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave (W) which comes at 113.5 – 116.8. Near term, as far as pivot at 119.9 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, 11 swing for further downside.
