Short term Elliott Wave view suggests the rally in Silver (XAGUSD) to 17.79 ended wave (1) as a 5 waves impulse. The pullback to 17.24 in the metal ended wave (2) with the internal as a double zigzag. Down from 17.79, wave W ended at 17.27, wave X bounce ended at 17.64, and wave Y ended at 17.24. The metal has broken above wave (1) and resumed higher within wave (3).
Up from 17.24, wave ((i)) ended at 17.48, wave ((ii)) pullback ended at 17.31, wave ((iii)) ended at 17.8, and wave ((iv)) ended at 17.61. Expect the metal to extend higher one more time to end wave ((v)). The move higher will also end wave 1 of (3) in higher degree. Afterwards, expect the metal to pullback in wave 2 of (3) in 3, 7, or 11 swing before the rally resumes. We don’t like selling Silver. As far as pivot at 17.24 low stays intact in the dips, expect the metal to extend higher. Potential target higher is 100% Fibonacci extension from October 1 low towards 18.2 – 18.7 area.
XAGUSD 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart
