Short term Elliott Wave View in Oil (CL) suggests that the cycle from 6.13.2022 high is in progress as a 5 waves impulse. Down from 6.13.2022 high, wave (1) ended at 76.25 and rally in wave (2) ended at 93.74. Oil then resumes lower in wave (3) towards 73.6. Wave (4) corrective rally is in the form of a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave (3) low on 11.28.2022, wave A ended at 79.65 and pullback in wave B ended at 77.08. Final leg higher wave C ended at 83.34 which also completed wave (4). Wave C of (4) ended at the 100% – 161.8% extension of wave A at 83.34 – 86.86.
Oil has resumed lower in wave (5). Internal subdivision of wave (5) is in the form of an impulse. Down from wave (4), wave ((i)) ended at 80.38 and rally in wave ((ii)) ended at 82.72. The commodity then resumed lower in wave ((iii)) towards 76.77 and wave ((iv)) ended at 77.88. Expect wave ((v)) to end soon which should complete wave 1 in higher degree. Afterwards, it should rally in wave 2 to correct cycle from 12.1.2022 high before the decline resumes. Near term, as far as pivot at 83.34 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside.
